If you’re in the market for a car, SUV or pickup truck, prepare for a rough road ahead. Prices and financing rates remain high, and dealer fees have risen as well. Also, there are still waiting lists for some vehicles. For some thoughts on how to navigate the vehicle market, I invited Dan Park, CEO of Clutch.ca, to do a newsletter Q&A. Clutch is an online used car marketplace, and it also helps people find deals on new cars. Here’s an edited version of our exchange:
Q: Dan, used car prices spiked higher in the pandemic because of a scarcity of new vehicles. Where are used vehicle prices today in comparison to the pandemic peak?
A: During the pandemic, the global auto industry underproduced an estimated 13 million vehicles, leading to a severe supply shortage of new vehicles and a consequent spike in used vehicle prices. Prices have since declined over 20 per cent from their peak in May 2022, but they remain 48 per cent higher than in January 2019. While we don’t anticipate an increase in used car prices, they will likely stay persistently high over the next few years.
Q: What’s the benefit of buying a vehicle a year or two old compared to a new vehicle?
A: As a general guideline, new cars depreciate approximately 15 to 20 per cent of their value in the first year and around 8 to 12 per cent per year thereafter. The rate of depreciation can vary depending on the make, model, condition, mileage, and market demand for the vehicle. Additionally, by opting for a used vehicle over a new one, you can also save an average of $2,000 on freight costs that are typically added to the manufacturer’s suggested retail price of all new vehicles.
Q: What are the most in-demand car, SUV and pickup models for new and used vehicle buyers these days? Are these vehicles in short supply still, or can buyers find what they’re looking for?
A: The most popular vehicles remain consistent, with Honda Civics and Toyota Corollas being our most popular sedans, and Toyota RAV4s, Honda CR-Vs, and Nissan Rogues as our top SUVs. Pickup trucks, with Ford F-150s and Ram 1500s leading, continue to be among the best-selling vehicles in Canada. Over the past year, 3 million searches were conducted on Clutch.ca, with Civics, Corollas, RAV4s, CR-Vs and Accords accounting for 22.5 per cent of all searches.
Currently, domestic automakers, including brands like Dodge, Chrysler, Lincoln, and Ram, have higher inventory levels. In contrast, Asian imports, such as Toyota and Honda, show lower inventory levels.
Q: If buying new, how much negotiation room is there these days? Are any buyers paying more than the MSRP?
A: Supply and demand dynamics for specific makes and models still dictate negotiation leeway. Some models, like the Toyota Sienna and Toyota RAV4 Hybrid + Plug-Ins, have wait times of six months or more, leaving little room for negotiation as dealerships can move to the next person on the waitlist. While customers aren’t generally paying much over the manufacturer’s suggested retail price, some dealers have increased administrative and freight charges on new vehicles. Additionally, vehicles priced above $45,000 currently have higher inventory levels, sell more slowly, and thus provide more room for negotiation. There has been decreased demand for vehicles in this price range due to significant interest rate increases over the past 12 months. For instance, we recently sold a Rivian R1S with less than 2,000 km, originally priced at $143,000, for $116,000.
Q: Which brands/models depreciate the least?
A: Our data indicates that Toyotas retain their value best, with the lowest annual depreciation of approximately $2,500 per year, or 7 per cent, closely followed by other Japanese competitors with an average of 8 per cent. German manufacturers, including Audi, Mercedes, and BMW, experience the highest annual depreciation, around 11 per cent. American manufacturers like Ford, Chevrolet, and Jeep fall in the middle, with an average annual depreciation of 9 per cent.
Plug-in and fully electric vehicles have seen the highest depreciation as a segment, with models like the Nissan Leaf and Hyundai Kona EV experiencing depreciation of up to $10,000 in a single year, or nearly a 25 per cent drop. However, hybrid vehicles maintain strong resale values, with a 7 per cent annual depreciation rate.
Subscribe to Carrick on Money
Are you reading this newsletter on the web or did someone forward the e-mail version to you? If so, you can sign up for Carrick on Money here.
Rob’s personal finance reading list
The 411 on pet insurance
If you’re a pet owner, should you find room in your household budget for pet insurance? This article will help you decide. We never had pet insurance or our cat or dog, but I doubt we’d get a new pet without this kind of coverage.
Banks ‘are a store for financial products’
CBC Marketplace catches banks pushing products on customers to meet sales targets. A financial planner accurately sums things up by saying banks are about selling products, not providing advice.
A taxing selection
A thorough comparison of seven tax software products, including some free options. Find out if paying for tax software is worth the cost in your particular situation.
The $6-million real estate museum
A five-bedroom, six-bathroom mansion in Toronto recently was listed for sale. What’s interesting about this home is that it was built in 1963 and has not been updated. Take a look at lux living in the 60s. Now for some social media venting on tiny Toronto condos with ridiculous floor plans.
Ask Rob
Q: I have been reading a lot about bare trusts. My question is, are joint accounts between a husband and wife considered a bare trust by CRA? The articles talk about grandparents or parents jointly holding accounts with grandchildren or children, but I could not find a reference to husband and wife joint accounts.
A: I called the CRA help line recently for help in completing a T3 trust information form and was told by a rep that joint accounts between spouses are not considered a bare trust.
Do you have a question for me? Send it my way. Sorry I can't answer every one personally. Questions and answers are edited for length and clarity.
Have you borrowed money from an alternative lender?
Have you take out a loan with an alternative - also called non-prime - lender after being turned down by a big bank? Journalist Kelsey Rolfe is working on a Globe story looking at the federal government’s changes to the maximum allowable interest rate. The changes will see the cost of borrowing on consumer loan products such as instalment loans from alternative lenders lowered to 35 per cent APR (annual percentage rate) from 47 per cent. She’d looking to speak with people who have previously or currently have such a loan, about the financial impact of those interest rates. Please reach out to her at kannerolfe@gmail.com
Tools, Explainers, Guides and Charts
A tax-filing guide for the self-employed.
The Money-Free Zone
Floating Features is a two-minute slice of smoking hot psychedelic/surf rock by a Seattle group of four women called La Luz. Guitar reverb, wailing organ – this is the full meal deal. The group has a new song this year called Strange World.
On social media
A thread on X about why you shouldn’t hold paper stock certificates.
What I’ve been writing about
- The 2024 Globe and Mail ETF Buyers Guide, Part Two - Canadian bond funds
- A $250,000 deposit insurance limit for banks would suit today’s world a lot better than the current $100,000
- How to get the CRA to butt out of your intergenerational family finances
More Rob Carrick and money coverage
Subscribe to Stress Test on Apple podcasts or Spotify. For more money stories, follow me on Instagram and Twitter, and join the discussion on my Facebook page. Millennial readers, join our Gen Y Money Facebook group.
Even more coverage from Rob Carrick:
- 🎧 Catch up on Stress Test: Why millennials and Gen Z are Alberta-bound for a more affordable life • Rising interest rates brought pain for new homeowners - and opportunity for house hunters • Why more Canadians are choosing to be childfree or delay parenthood • Love in the time of inflation: How to manage rising costs when dating • You're not bad at money - you're suffering from money shame • Retirement might look different for Gen Z and millennials. Here's how to plan for it • Recession-beating tips for the job market, housing, investing and the cost of life • Is the middle class dead for millennials and Gen Z?
- ✔️ The housing file: A house isn't special. Get your head straight about the reality of home ownership • The good, the sad and the unaffordable: Saving for a home downpayment in Canada's big cities • Property taxes are popping in some cities - how worried should you be about other tax hikes? • Our other real-estate problem - people have too much wealth tied up in houses • Borrowers and savers, here's how to time the eventual rollback of interest rates
- 📈 Investing: Canada's top digital broker is TD Direct Investing, with an assist from the TD Easy Trade app • 2023 Globe and Mail ETF buyer's guide part one: Canadian equity ETFs • For the ultimate in cheap investing, check out the Freedom .08 ETF Portfolio • Yes, there is risk in Canadian bank deposits for the unwary and complacent • CDIC covers bank deposits, but who protects your investments if your broker goes bust? • Answers to your questions about the low-risk ETF paying almost 5% • Happy fifth birthday to one of the all-time best investing products for everyday people • An investing strategy that wins cleanly over the long term by outperforming in bad years like 2022
- 💰 Your money: Mortgage holders, savers and GIC investors, it’s time to change your thinking on interest rates • How much debt is each generation of Canadians carrying, and how do you compare? • For the sake of their financial futures, young people should leave Toronto and Vancouver • This practical new spin on a savings account might just peel you away from your big bank • Rental fraud grows amid rise in fake, falsified tenant applications • Are Canadians worse off financially now than in the 1980s? • From groceries to auto loans, here’s how much more it costs to live right now • When saving for retirement, should you change your asset mix over the course of your career? • Do retirement income needs always rise alongside inflation? Not necessarily • When the bank suggests you lock in your variable rate mortgage, it has an angle
