Gold prices could see $3,000 over the next 12 months, say analysts at Citi. All of which would be a solid catalyst for gold stocks, such as such as U.S. Gold Corp. (NASDAQ: USAU), Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE: GOLD) (TSX: ABX), Royal Gold Inc. (NASDAQ: RGLD), Franco Nevada Corp. (NYSE: FNV) (TSX: FNV), and Newmont Corp. (NYSE: NEM) (TSX: NGT). All thanks to a combination of strong physical demand, central bank purchases, and macroeconomic factor that continue to support elevated gold prices.
In addition, according to Citi, as highlighted by Investing.com, “An easing cycle from the Federal Reserve, combined with a rally in Treasury markets, is expected to be a significant bullish factor for gold. Citi’s economists foresee a US recession later in the second half of 2024, which could catalyze lower yields and higher gold prices.”
Look at U.S. Gold Corp. (NASDAQ: USAU), For Example
U.S. Gold Corp. announced that its wholly owned subsidiary, Gold King Corp., has been issued its Wyoming Pollutant Discharge Elimination System Permit, dated May 31, 2024 (the “Water Discharge Permit”), from the Director of the Wyoming Department of Environmental Quality satisfying one of the conditions associated with the recently granted Surface Gold Mine Permit for the CK Gold Project.
In commenting on the approval, George Bee, President, CEO and Director of U.S. Gold said, “Issuance of the Water Discharge Permit satisfies one of the three conditions associated with the Mine Operating Permit, further cementing that major milestone, as U.S. Gold moves along the pathway toward development. Work to complete the remaining conditions, the acceptance of the already submitted reclamation bond and the Air Quality Permit are anticipated shortly. The Air Quality Permit is currently under review with the WDEQ Air Quality Division, and we remain on track to receive unconditional approval to move forward with the Mine Operating Plan in hand, around mid-year, as per prior guidance.”
Luke Norman, Executive Chairman of U.S. Gold, added, “The CK Gold Project continues to advance with the major permitting almost complete. Over the past year, the project has received its Industrial Siting, Mine Operating and Water Discharge Permits, demonstrating a pathway to near-term operations. We would like to recognize our management team, consultants, and the State of Wyoming regulatory authorities for their hard work and dedication in advancing the CK Gold Project. The CK Gold Project sits on State and private ground in Wyoming, which is an extraordinary jurisdiction for resource development, with a clear regulatory framework, and authorities that are knowledgeable, experienced, and motivated to safely and responsibly manage the State’s mineral wealth.”
Background
U.S. Gold Corp. pivoted from a purely exploration focus on its highly prospective assets in Nevada and Idaho to development of the CK Gold Project in 2020, representing a significant and achievable value creation opportunity for the Company.
In August 2020, U.S. Gold’s management team started along the development path for the CK Gold Project, previously known as Copper King, which had lain dormant for several years. While Copper King has been known about and explored on multiple occasions, following limited underground mining around 100 years ago, the last study on the project was a Preliminary Economic Assessment authored by Mine Development Associates Inc. in 2012.
The Water Discharge Permit application was submitted to WDEQ on December 12, 2023. The 30-day public notice and comment period began in February 2024 and concluded on March 18,2024. WDEQ approved the Water Discharge Permit on May 31, 2024.
With approval of the Mine Operating Permit and Water Discharge Permit, work on a prefeasibility study update and completion of the feasibility study has been restarted. The feasibility study work, awarded to Samuel Engineering Inc. in April 2022, was suspended in March 2023. The decision to suspend Samuel’s work on a feasibility study was made for three reasons: first, the Company did not want a “stale dated” study in relation to the permit approval timeframe; second, there was still price and supply disruption following the COVID-19 pandemic; and third, there was a need to recognize some of the changes and additions that came about as a consequence of WDEQ’s review of the project.
Engineering work is well advanced with the process plant design largely complete, and updated bids for major equipment now being solicited. We are on track to update the prefeasibility study by the third quarter of 2024 and finalize the feasibility study sometime thereafter. We are also working to understand and include project upside opportunities in the feasibility study.
Other related developments from around the markets include:
Barrick Gold announced that its subsidiary Barrick Gold (International Holdings) Ltd. has entered into an exploration earn-in agreement with Geophysx Jamaica Ltd. with respect to certain properties located in Jamaica. The Agreement initially provides Barrick with access to approximately 4,000 square kilometers of consolidated land positions throughout the country, with a favorable geological setting comparable to the Dominican Republic, where Barrick operates the Pueblo Viejo mine. Barrick will have the right to work with Geophysx to earn up to an 80% joint-venture interest in designated properties upon fulfillment of certain spending obligations and study-deliverable milestones. Barrick will act as the operator, in partnership with Geophysx, leveraging Geophysx’s existing personnel, knowledge, facilities and equipment.
Royal Gold announced that its Board of Directors has declared its third quarter dividend of $0.40 per share of common stock. The dividend is payable on Friday, July 19, 2024 to shareholders of record at the close of business on Friday, July 5, 2024.
Franco Nevada recently noted, “In late 2023, we were challenged by the unprecedented production halt at Cobre Panama. We are hopeful that the issues can be resolved, although we have taken a prudent approach for the carrying value of the asset”, stated Paul Brink, CEO. “Despite the issue at Cobre Panama, our business remains robust and we continue to benefit from a long- duration, diversified portfolio. We finished the year with no debt and $1.4 billion in cash and cash equivalents. The balance of our business performed well in 2023 and is expected to grow in 2024 with contributions from the completion of the Tocantinzinho, Greenstone and Salares Norte gold mines. Our growth outlook through 2028 is driven by numerous new mines and mine expansions. $2.4 billion of available capital positions us well for attractive acquisitions in an environment where many project developers are capital constrained.”
Newmont Corp. announced first quarter 2024 results and declared a first quarter dividend of $0.25 per share. "Newmont delivered a strong first quarter operational performance, producing 2.2 million gold equivalent ounces and generating over $1.4 billion in cash from operations before working capital changes," said Tom Palmer, Newmont's President and Chief Executive Officer. "Underpinned by the gold industry's leading portfolio of Tier 1 gold and copper operations, we remain well-positioned to achieve our full-year guidance and deliver meaningful synergies and productivity improvements from the combined portfolio. We remain focused on delivering on the commitments we laid out at the beginning of this year, creating an attractive value proposition for new and existing investors during this unique time in the gold industry."
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