Skip to main content

Texas Roadhouse Inc(TXRH-Q)
NASDAQ

Today's Change
Real-Time Last Update Last Sale Cboe BZX Real-Time

Why Texas Roadhouse Stock Went Up 19% Last Month

Motley Fool - Tue Mar 5, 4:29PM CST

Shares of casual-dining chain Texas Roadhouse(NASDAQ: TXRH) went up 18.8% during February, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. The stock's biggest move came on Feb. 16 after the company reported financial results for the fourth quarter of 2023.

Here's why the quarterly financial results were worth celebrating: Texas Roadhouse grew its Q4 revenue by 15% year over year to nearly $1.2 billion. The company didn't only grow its revenue by opening new restaurant locations; it also grew its same-store sales by 10% in 2023, which is encouraging.

The same-store-sales growth for Texas Roadhouse has an even more encouraging detail beneath the surface. Only about half of the increase was due to its raising menu prices. The other part of its growth came from higher restaurant traffic, which is the best growth metric for a restaurant company.

On the earnings call, CEO Gerald Morgan said it succinctly: "2023 was another great year for Texas Roadhouse."

Why results were particularly good for Texas Roadhouse

Texas Roadhouse is a casual-dining chain, and many of these are facing headwinds. Inflation is causing expenses such as food and labor to rise, motivating these companies to raise menu prices like Texas Roadhouse did. But consumers appear to be pushing back and eating out less at casual-dining chains.

For example, in its annual report, Applebee's and IHOP parent company Dine Brands cited research data from Black Box. Black Box says that restaurant traffic for family dining dropped in 2023. For its part, Dine also saw traffic declines.

This paints operating results from Texas Roadhouse in an even more favorable light -- it increased menu prices but still saw its restaurant traffic increase when the sector is facing headwinds. That's significant.

That's not to say that Texas Roadhouse is entirely immune from industry headwinds. Indeed, the company's earnings per share (EPS) were only up 14% year over year in 2023, hitting $4.54. This EPS growth underperformed revenue, demonstrating the struggle associated with rising expenses.

However, Texas Roadhouse's results were still good, which is why the stock was up in February.

A solid outlook for 2024

Texas Roadhouse's management expects same-store sales to climb again in 2024. That's good considering it also expects ongoing expense inflation.

Texas Roadhouse will also continue opening new restaurant locations in 2024. The company actually owns three brands: Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33, and Jaggers. Management expects to open 30 new locations across all three brands. For perspective, it had 741 restaurants as of Dec. 26.

Don't expect Texas Roadhouse to blow the market away with flashy, top-line growth. But the company will continue growing at a steady pace while earning a respectable profit. And that should keep the stock trending higher in the coming year as well.

Should you invest $1,000 in Texas Roadhouse right now?

Before you buy stock in Texas Roadhouse, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy nowโ€ฆ and Texas Roadhouse wasnโ€™t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than tripled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.

See the 10 stocks

*Stock Advisor returns as of February 26, 2024

Jon Quast has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Texas Roadhouse. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Paid Post: Content produced by Motley Fool. The Globe and Mail was not involved, and material was not reviewed prior to publication.