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Tesla Stock Analysis: Diverging Opinions Among Analysts

Stock Target Advisor - Thu Jul 4, 10:50PM CDT

Tesla (TSLA) Stock Analysis:

Tesla Inc. (TSLA) has received several research reports of ratings and target price updates,as investors are seeking clarity on the electric vehicle giantโ€™s future prospects. Hereโ€™s a detailed look at the latest analyst opinions and stock performance metrics for Tesla.

Recent Analyst Ratings From Thursday July 4th

  • Morningstar: Maintains a โ€œHoldโ€ rating with a target price of $200.
  • STA Research: Upgrades Tesla to a โ€œStrong Buyโ€ with an increased target price of $300, up from $260.
  • UBS: Maintains a โ€œHoldโ€ rating with a target price of $147.
  • Morgan Stanley: Reiterates a โ€œBuyโ€ rating with a target price of $310.

Analyst Consensus: Based on forecasts from 36 analysts, the average target price for Tesla over the next 12 months is $208.91. The consensus rating is โ€œBuy,โ€ indicating a general positive outlook despite varied opinions on its valuation.

Stock Target Advisor Analysis: Stock Target Advisorโ€™s analysis of Tesla is โ€œSlightly Bullish,โ€ based on 9 positive signals and 6 negative signals. This nuanced view suggests a cautiously optimistic stance, balancing Teslaโ€™s strengths and weaknesses.

Stock Performance Overview:

Recent Performance:

  • Current Price: $246.39
  • Weekly Change: +25.47%
  • Monthly Change: +39.76%
  • Annual Change: -11.95%

Teslaโ€™s stock has shown significant short-term gains, recovering impressively over the past month despite a dip over the past year.

Positive Fundamentals (Bullish Indicators):

  • Superior Risk-Adjusted Returns: Tesla has outperformed its sector peers on a risk-adjusted basis over the last 12 months, placing it in the top quartile.
  • Positive Cash Flow: The company reported positive total cash flow over the most recent four quarters.
  • Positive Free Cash Flow: Tesla also achieved positive free cash flow during the same period.
  • Superior Return on Assets: Teslaโ€™s management has delivered better return on assets compared to its peers, positioning it in the top quartile.
  • Superior Capital Utilization: The company has demonstrated excellent return on invested capital in the past four quarters.
  • High Market Capitalization: Tesla is among the largest entities in its sector, contributing to its stability.
  • Superior Earnings Growth: The company has shown top quartile earnings growth over the previous five years.
  • High Gross Profit to Asset Ratio: Teslaโ€™s gross profit to asset ratio is among the highest in its sector.
  • Superior Return on Equity: Teslaโ€™s return on equity in the most recent four quarters places it in the top quartile.
  • Negative Fundamentals (Bearish Indicators)

  • Overpriced Compared to Book Value: Tesla is trading at a higher price-to-book value ratio compared to its peers.
  • Overpriced Compared to Earnings: The stock is also trading high on a price-to-earnings basis, above the sector median.
  • High Volatility: Teslaโ€™s returns have been volatile, indicating higher risk compared to its sector.
  • Overpriced on Cash Flow Basis: The stock trades high compared to its peers on a price-to-cash flow basis.
  • Highly Leveraged: Teslaโ€™s debt-to-equity ratio is in the bottom half compared to its peers, indicating high leverage.
  • Overpriced on Free Cash Flow Basis: Tesla is trading high on a price-to-free cash flow basis compared to its peers.
  • Final Analysis:

    Teslaโ€™s stock remains a subject of intense analysis and debate. While the company boasts numerous strengths, including superior returns and robust financial performance, concerns about its valuation and volatility persist. Investors should weigh these factors carefully, considering both the bullish and cautious perspectives before making investment decisions.