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Tencent Music Q2: Revenue Drops as Social Entertainment Falters

Stock Target Advisor News - Stock Target Advisor - Wed Aug 14, 2:56AM CDT

Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME), a leading online music and audio entertainment platform in China, recently announced its unaudited financial results for the second quarter of 2024. Despite a slight decline in overall revenues, the company has demonstrated robust growth in key areas, particularly in its online music services.

Key Points from Tencent Music Entertainment’s Q2 Reports:

Here are the key findings from Tencent Music quarterly report.

Total Revenues: Tencent Music reported total revenues of RMB7.16 billion (US$985 million), a 1.7% year-over-year decrease.
Social Entertainment Services: Revenues from social entertainment services declined sharply by 42.8% year-over-year.
Online Music Services: Revenues from online music services increased by 27.7% to RMB5.42 billion (US$746 million).
Net Profit: The company’s net profit rose by 33.1% year-over-year to RMB1.79 billion (US$247 million).
Paying Users: The number of paying users for online music services grew by 17.7% to 117 million.
ARPPU: Monthly average revenue per paying user (ARPPU) increased by 10.3% to RMB10.7.

Positive Implications for Investors:

Several factors from Tencent Music’s Q2 2024 earnings report bode well for investors. Firstly, the company’s strong performance in the online music segment indicates a solid foundation for future growth. The 17.7% increase in paying users and the 29.4% growth in music subscription revenues are particularly encouraging, suggesting that Tencent Music is effectively capitalizing on the increasing demand for online music services in China.

Additionally, the company’s gross margin improved to 42.0%, up from 34.3% in the same period last year. This improvement was primarily due to the higher revenues from music subscriptions and advertising services, alongside effective cost management. Tencent Music’s ability to enhance its profitability while expanding its user base is a positive sign for long-term investors.

Negative Implications for Investors:

Despite the positive trends, there are some concerns that investors should be mindful of. The sharp decline in revenues from social entertainment services, which fell by 42.8%, raises questions about the sustainability of this segment. The decline was attributed to adjustments in live-streaming interactive functions and increased competition, which could continue to impact the company’s overall revenue growth.

Moreover, the company’s stock is trading at a relatively high valuation compared to its earnings, with a Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio of 28.17. While this is within the sector’s median range, it suggests that the stock might be overpriced, especially when considering the volatility and the declining revenues from social entertainment services.

Stock Target Advisor’s Analysis on Tencent Music:

According to Stock Target Advisor, Tencent Music Entertainment holds a “Slightly Bullish” rating. The analysis highlights several positive signals, including superior return on equity, capital utilization, and earnings growth over the past five years. However, the analysis also notes the high volatility of the stock and its overpriced nature relative to earnings, book value, and free cash flow. Despite these concerns, the projected price change over the next 12 months is a promising 27.7%, with a target price of USD 14.2.

Conclusion:

Tencent Music Entertainment’s Q2 2024 earnings report presents a mixed picture for investors. On one hand, the company continues to demonstrate strong growth in its core online music services, which bodes well for future profitability. On the other hand, the significant decline in social entertainment revenues and the stock’s relatively high valuation are potential red flags.