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Shoe Carnival Q3 Earnings Breakdown: Highlights, and Market Strategy

Stock Target Advisor - Thu Nov 21, 7:12AM CST

Shoe Carnival Inc (SCVL), a leading family footwear and accessories retailer, announced its financial results for the third quarter ending November 2, 2024. Despite challenges from natural disasters and weather conditions, the company delivered on its profitability expectations, showcasing resilience and strategic growth.

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Key Insights from Shoe Carnival’s Earnings Report: 

Below are the key highlights from Shoe Carnival’s Q3 earning reports.

  • Quarterly Net Sales:
    • Reported net sales: $306.9 million
    • Year-over-year decrease from $319.9 million, primarily due to a retail calendar shift.
    • Adjusted for the calendar shift, sales grew by 2.2% year-over-year.
  • Year-to-Date Net Sales:
    • Increased by 4.9% to $939.9 million.
    • Growth driven by strong Back-to-School sales and the acquisition of Rogan Shoes, Incorporated.
  • Gross Profit Margin: Maintained a robust 36%, marking the 15th consecutive quarter above 35%.
  • Operating Income: Totaled $24.5 million for the quarter.

Management Discussion and Analysis: 

Mark Worden, Shoe Carnival’s President and CEO, highlighted the company’s ability to maintain profitability despite significant external challenges. “Our Back-to-School results were strong, driven by flexible digital marketing campaigns and robust brand assortments,” said Worden.

For a comprehensive overview, check out the latest Analyst Ratings for Shoe Carnival.

Worden also emphasized the accelerated integration of Rogan Shoes, which contributed $22.3 million in sales for the quarter. The acquisition is expected to exceed $80 million in annual net sales, with synergy captures ahead of schedule.

Stock Target Advisor’s Analysis on Shoe Carnival

According to Stock Target Advisor, Shoe Carnival’s stock outlook is bullish, backed by eight positive signals and two negative signals. Analysts have set an average 12-month target price of $48.20, with a strong buy recommendation.

What’s Working for Shoe Carnival:

  • Superior returns on assets, equity, and invested capital.
  • Strong earnings and dividend growth over the past five years.
  • Positive cash and free cash flows, along with a high market capitalization, signaling stability.

Risks Identified:

  • Overvaluation compared to peers in terms of price-to-book and price-to-cash flow ratios.
  • Currently trading at $33.48, Shoe Carnival’s stock has gained 41.68% over the past year, reflecting strong investor confidence.

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Conclusion: 

Shoe Carnival’s third-quarter performance demonstrates its operational resilience and strategic focus. While facing macroeconomic headwinds and operational disruptions, the company achieved its profit targets and continues to invest in growth opportunities through store rebranding and acquisitions.