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Riot Blockchain Reports 65% Revenue Growth, Yet Stock Drops Over 3.5%

Stock Target Advisor - Thu Oct 31, 2:20AM CDT

Riot Blockchain Inc (RIOT) released its third-quarter financial report on October 30, 2024, highlighting its performance in a post-halving environment. With a focus on scaling operations and managing power costs, Riot reported significant revenue growth alongside operational challenges. This analysis delves into Riot’s Q3 financial performance, exploring both the opportunities and potential risks for investors.

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Key Insights from Riot Blockchain Inc’s Earning Report:

For Q3 2024, Riot reported a total revenue of $84.8 million, marking a substantial increase from $51.9 million in Q3 2023. This 65% revenue increase was primarily driven by a 159% year-over-year expansion in Riot’s deployed hash rate, reaching 28 EH/s by quarter-end. However, despite the higher hash rate, Riot’s Bitcoin production remained similar to the previous year at 1,104 Bitcoins, highlighting challenges posed by the recent Bitcoin halving event and increased network difficulty. Additionally, Riot’s strategic power cost management allowed it to maintain an industry-low average power cost of 3.1 cents/kWh, which supported a gross profit of $24.3 million.

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Positive Implications for Investors:

Investors may find Riot’s financial and operational strength appealing. With a robust cash position of $355.7 million and 10,427 Bitcoins held, Riot has ample liquidity to pursue further expansion. The company’s strategic power management practices at its Corsicana and Rockdale facilities provide a competitive edge, helping to minimize power costs, which is essential in the energy-intensive Bitcoin mining sector. Furthermore, Riot’s market capitalization positions it among the top quartile in its sector, suggesting relative stability and resilience in a highly volatile industry.

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Negative Implications for Investors:

Despite its revenue growth, Riot faces notable challenges. Q3 saw a net loss of $154.4 million, which represents a significant increase from a net loss of $80 million in Q3 2023. This was partly due to a substantial reduction in power curtailment credits, which dropped from $49.6 million to $12.4 million year-over-year, alongside increased costs from higher network difficulty and the Bitcoin halving.

Riot’s cost to mine Bitcoin rose significantly, with an average of $35,376 per Bitcoin mined, which could continue to strain profitability as Bitcoin’s price fluctuates. Additionally, Riot has adjusted its hash rate growth targets downward, suggesting that expansion plans in Kentucky and Texas may face delays into 2026.

Stock Target Advisor’s Analysis on Riot Blockchain Inc:

According to Stock Target Advisor, Riot Blockchain Inc has a target price of $16.39, with a “Slightly Bullish” outlook based on four positive signals and three negative signals. Riot is recognized for its high market capitalization and robust revenue growth, but its high price-to-cash-flow ratio and negative free cash flow remain concerns.

The stock’s high beta (4.1) reflects its volatile nature, underscoring the importance of a strong risk tolerance for investors. Despite the risks, Riot’s favorable target price and long-term growth potential in Bitcoin mining contribute to its positive outlook.

Conclusion:

Riot Blockchain Inc’s Q3 2024 earnings report presents a mixed picture. The company has shown resilience in revenue growth and strategic power management, but profitability challenges persist amid operational headwinds.  However, investors should weigh the company’s operational risks and high volatility against its growth potential and financial strength.