Skip to main content
hello world

Paid Post: Content produced by Motley Fool. The Globe and Mail was not involved, and material was not reviewed prior to publication.

Up 400%, This Unstoppable Growth Stock Could Keep Flying. Is It Time to Buy Hand Over Fist?

Motley Fool - Thu Aug 22, 4:30AM CDT

When you see that a stock with returns that blow away the rest of the market, it's understandable that software or biotechnology may be the first thing that comes to mind.

However, what if I told you that an under-the-radar insurance company called Kinsale Capital Group(NYSE: KNSL) has generated a total return of more than 400% during the past five years?

Kinsale has carved out a unique position in an otherwise competitive insurance landscape, and even after its run-up, this still looks like an incredible time to get in on the stock.

What makes Kinsale so unique?

Broadly speaking, insurance is a fairly commoditized product, and there is no shortage of options for customers seeking auto or homeowners policies.

Kinsale specializes in an area called excess and surplus (E&S) insurance. E&S is often referred to as specialty insurance, and is a relatively underserved pocket of the broader insurance market.

Specialty insurers underwrite businesses that are, for want of a better term, nontraditional. For example, businesses where customers have a higher than normal chance of getting injured -- paintball courses, for example -- may need E&S coverage.

There's limited competition in this niche, but one of Kinsale's more notable peers is American-Swiss insurer Chubb -- a recent addition to Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio.

According to Kinsale's investor presentation, the company only holds about 1.1% of its total addressable market (TAM). However, instead of putting the bulk of its energy into bidding on larger (and highly competitive) underwriting opportunities, Kinsale focuses on small and mid-sized enterprises (SMEs).

Management calls this strategy a "contrarian risk appetite" since SMEs are often overlooked by other insurers in their pursuit of bigger, and perhaps more stable, customers. By focusing on an otherwise underserved pocket of the broader E&S market, Kinsale has been able to command strong pricing power that has fueled its revenue and profit growth.

An insurance policy on a desk

Image Source: Getty Images

Best-in-breed financial and operating metrics

One of the most important performance indicators for an insurance business is its combined ratio. Basically, this measures how profitable its underwriting policies are. To calculate the combined ratio, add up the company's outflows -- namely, the funds paid out in claims and its administrative operating expenses -- and divide that total by its cash inflows, which largely come from premiums collected.

A combined ratio in excess of 100% means the insurance provider is losing money on its policies.

Kinsale Capital combined ratio

Image Source: Kinsale.

The company's combined ratio hovers around 77%. By comparison, the average combined ratio among its peers is roughly 92%. This wide gap suggests Kinsale's approach is paying off in spades. And that level of efficiency has helped it consistently generate strong free cash flow (what's left of cash flow after capital expenditures) and profitability. Its impressive earnings profile combined with its total market opportunity make it a compelling long-term investment -- and one that's still available at a reasonable valuation.

KNSL Free Cash Flow (Quarterly) Chart

KNSL Free Cash Flow (Quarterly) data by YCharts

A hand-over-fist buying opportunity

The chart below traces Kinsale's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio since its initial public offering.

KNSL PE Ratio Chart

KNSL PE Ratio data by YCharts.

Its current P/E of 30.4 is a discount relative to its average valuation. But the company's cash flows have continued to soar during the past several years, and it has achieved stronger operating efficiency than its peers. Between those factors and the enormous potential the company has to broaden its footprint within its market, I think there's a legitimate case to be made that Kinsale stock is undervalued.

Growth stock investors in particular should buy Kinsale hand over fist right now. The insurer's story is really just beginning, and further share price gains are very much on the horizon -- despite the stock's 400% return over the last five years.

Don’t miss this second chance at a potentially lucrative opportunity

Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you’ll want to hear this.

On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a “Double Down” stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you’re worried you’ve already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it’s too late. And the numbers speak for themselves:

  • Amazon: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2010, you’d have $20,146!*
  • Apple: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2008, you’d have $42,850!*
  • Netflix: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2004, you’d have $376,717!*

Right now, we’re issuing “Double Down” alerts for three incredible companies, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon.

See 3 “Double Down” stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of August 12, 2024

Adam Spatacco has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Berkshire Hathaway, Kinsale Capital Group, and Progressive. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.