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Why CrowdStrike Stock Plummeted Again This Week

Motley Fool - Fri Jul 26, 7:32PM CDT

CrowdStrike(NASDAQ: CRWD) stock saw another big sell-off in this week's trading. The company's share price ended this week's trading down 16% from last week's market close, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence.

Last Friday, CrowdStrike's software was at the center of a major IT outage -- and the event has triggered big sell-offs of the company's stock. The cybersecurity specialist's valuation pullback continued this week as investors and analysts weighed the potential fallout of the major system failure for the business.

CrowdStrike's update on the big IT outage hasn't comforted investors

Due to a bug contained in an automatic update that CrowdStrike rolled out last Friday, millions of computers using Microsoft's Windows operating system were taken offline last week. CrowdStrike has emerged as a leading provider of endpoint device protection and other related cybersecurity services, but last week's far-reaching IT meltdown has called the company's systems, performance outlook, and valuation into question.

CEO George Kurtz provided an update on Thursday that said 97% of Windows sensors that had been taken down in the previous week's outage were now working again. Unfortunately, the recovery hasn't done much to assuage concerns among investors and analysts.

Analysts are cutting price targets on CrowdStrike

On Wednesday, Citigroup published a note on CrowdStrike maintaining a buy rating on the company's stock. On the other hand, lead analyst Fatima Boolani lowered the firm's one-year price target from $425 per share to $345 per share. If CrowdStrike were to hit that target, it would represent upside of roughly 35% compared to the company's current share price. But Boolani also highlighted a risk that CrowdStrike could fall to as low as $170 per share.

In a note published Thursday, Barclays lowered its one-year price target on CrowdStrike from $400 per share to $285 per share. Based on the cybersecurity specialist's share price at today's market close, that would imply upside potential of roughly 11%. While Barclays maintained an overweight rating on CrowdStrike stock, the dramatic downward revision for the price target on the stock suggests that the outage will continue to present substantial valuation headwinds.

In an optimistic scenario, Barclays thinks that CrowdStrike could climb back to $310 per share over the next year. But the firm also sees a risk that shares could fall to as low as $210 per share.

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Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Keith Noonan has positions in CrowdStrike. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends CrowdStrike and Microsoft. The Motley Fool recommends Barclays Plc and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.