Canada’s main stock index fell on Thursday as bond yields climbed and the communications sector lost ground ahead of a domestic employment report that could guide expectations for Bank of Canada interest rate cuts. The S&P 500 was nearly unchanged, trading close to the 5,000-point milestone, as investors reacted to earnings reports, a roughly in-line jobs report and remarks from policymakers on interest rate cuts.
The S&P/TSX composite index ended down 49.54 points, or 0.2%, at 20,919.64, adding to its weekly decline.
“The cold reality of economic data - resilient growth in the U.S., high inflation, wage inflation - is now causing the market to rethink how soon we are going to get these interest rate cuts,” said Brian Madden, chief investment officer at First Avenue Investment Counsel Inc.
Members of the Bank of Canada’s governing council were concerned about cutting borrowing costs too soon amid persistent inflation when they decided to keep the key overnight rate on hold on Jan. 24, minutes published on Wednesday showed.
The Canadian employment report, due on Friday, is expected to show the economy adding 15,000 jobs in January.
Canada’s 10-year yield was up 9.2 basis points on Thursday at 3.570%, its highest level since Dec. 1, largely taking direction from the U.S. bond market.
Traders are waiting for the U.S. consumer price index for January on Tuesday, after data last week showed that jobs gains were much higher than expected last month while wages increased by the most in nearly two years.
Ahead of that, the U.S. government on Friday will release CPI revisions for the past calendar year. These recalculated seasonal adjustments last year surprised traders by showing that price pressures were greater in late 2022 than previously thought.
“A year ago we had the revisions cause a little bit of a stir right ahead of the inflation data,” said Ellis Phifer, managing director of fixed income research at Raymond James in Memphis, Tennessee.
“The market is still a little bit concerned about inflation data coming out next week, given a lot of the stronger employment data that’s hit the tape of late,” Phifer noted.
The TSX communication services sector, which includes high-dividend paying stocks that could particularly benefit from rate cuts, fell 1.9%.
It was pressured by a 3.8% decline in the shares of BCE Inc after the telecom company announced its largest workforce reduction in nearly three decades.
Utilities fell 1.3% and the materials group was down 0.9% as concerns over China’s ailing economy weighed on base metal prices.
Lightspeed Commerce shares tumbled 24.4% after the software company forecast revenue figures for 2024 below analyst estimates. Still, technology rose 1%.
Short seller Muddy Waters has placed bets against the shares of insurer Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd alleging manipulation in its asset value. Fairfax’s shares lost 11.9%.
On Wall Street, small-cap indexes outperformed large caps and semiconductor stocks also outperformed with shares of chip designer ARM Holdings surging 47.9% after it forecast strong demand for designs related to artificial intelligence.
Shares of Walt Disney rose 11.5% after the media giant’s profit beat Wall Street estimates and it announced a US$3 billion share repurchase plan, a 50% dividend increase, a gaming investment and plans for an ESPN streaming service in 2025.
Spirit Airlines shares rose 3.3% after the airline said it expects to operate with a positive cash flow from the second quarter after reporting a narrower-than-expected loss.
More than half of the S&P 500 companies have reported quarterly earnings, with 80.6% surpassing expectations, compared with a long-term average of 67%, according to LSEG data.
On the economic data front, the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell slightly more than expected last week, suggesting underlying labor market strength.
“In what appears to be a sleepy day there are some things under the surface. There’s more of a risk-on appetite. Semiconductors continue to show leadership,” said Keith Lerner, co-chief investment officer at Truist Advisory Services in Atlanta.
“We’ve had such outperformance in megacaps, investors are looking for other opportunities, even in technology they’re going down the market cap scale,” said Lerner, referring to a stronger gain in the S&P 600 tech sector than the S&P 500 tech sector.
Regarding the 5,000 milestone, which the S&P momentarily breached late in the session, Lerner said: “It may bring some excitement, some positive inflows.”
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 48.97 points, or 0.13%, to 38,726.33, the S&P 500 gained 2.85 points, or 0.06%, to 4,997.91 and the Nasdaq Composite gained 37.07 points, or 0.24%, to 15,793.72.
While its gains were muted, the S&P 500 notched a record high for the second day in a row as investors looked past uncertainty on the timing of interest rate cuts and jitters around the stability of some regional banks.
The Russell 2000 small-cap index outperformed during the session and closed up 1.5%. The Philadelphia semiconductor index ended up 1.6% as the sector is seen as a key beneficiary of AI technology.
Among the S&P 500′s 11 major sectors, energy led major-sector gains to finish up 1.1% as crude prices rose.
Keeping some checks on risk appetites, however, investors sent shares of New York Community Bancorp down 6.5% after it gained ground on Wednesday following the lender’s appointment of a new executive chairman; it also said it could cut exposure to the troubled commercial real estate segment.
Meanwhile, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said recent stronger-than-expected data on the U.S. economy may be partly due to the difficulty of making accurate seasonal adjustments around the beginning of the new year. PayPal shares sank 11.2% after a forecast of flat growth in adjusted profit for the current year, dragging on the S&P 500 financial sector.
Ralph Lauren stock rallied 16.8% following a third-quarter revenue beat, while apparel maker Under Armour closed up 0.1% after raising its annual profit forecast.
Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.4-to-1 ratio on the NYSE where there were 358 new highs and 69 new lows. On the Nasdaq, 2,640 issues advanced and 1,622 declined, with advancing issues outnumbering decliners by a 1.6-to-1 ratio. The S&P 500 posted 56 new 52-week highs and 7 new lows while the Nasdaq recorded 249 new highs and 109 new lows.
Reuters, Globe staff