Canada’s main stock index rose to its highest level in nearly two years on Friday, helped by gains for resource shares, as investors bet that the U.S. economy was headed for a soft landing despite recent hotter-than-expected inflation data.
The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index ended up 32.92 points, or 0.2%, at 21,255.61, its highest closing level since April 2022. For the week, the index was up 1.2%, snapping a two-week losing streak.
“It does look like both sides of the border the price action points to buying on the dip,” said Elvis Picardo, portfolio manager at Luft Financial, iA Private Wealth. “The trigger for that is because the soft landing in the U.S. is very much in play.”
U.S. producer prices increased more than expected in January, giving Federal Reserve policymakers fresh validation for their wait-and-see approach to cutting interest rates. It follows hotter-than-expected U.S. consumer price data on Tuesday.
“Even though we’ve got a couple of strong inflation prints in the U.S, the expectation continues to be the trend is lower for inflation,” Picardo said.
Canada sends about 75% of its exports to the United States, including commodities.
The materials group, which includes precious and base metals miners and fertilizer companies, added 0.9% as gold and copper prices rose.
Energy also ended up, gaining 0.5%, as the price of oil settled 1.5% higher at $79.19 a barrel.
Technology fell 1.2%, cutting the sector’s advance since the start of the year to 6.9%.
Air Canada was among the biggest decliners. Its shares fell 6.5% after the company reported a wider-than-expected adjusted quarterly loss.
The TSX is set to be closed on Monday for the Family Day holiday.
U.S. stocks fell on Friday with the Nasdaq showing the largest decline after a hotter-than-expected producer prices report eroded hopes for imminent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
A Labor Department report showed producer prices increased more than expected in January, feeding fears inflation was picking up after months of cooling. After five consecutive weeks of gains, all three indexes posted a weekly decline.
The data could encourage the Fed to wait before cutting rates. Earlier this week, a hot consumer prices report sparked a selloff in equity markets although a slump in January retail sales on Thursday stoked hopes of rate cuts.
“The inflation data this week are definitely going to keep the Fed at least on pause until summer,” said Carol Schleif, chief investment officer at BMO family office. “Data is bumpy, it’s not a straight line.”
Treasury yields spiked after the report as traders added to bets the Fed may defer the first rate cut until after June.
“The theme of higher for longer is really the continuing market narrative” for interest rates, said Greg Bassuk, Chief Executive Officer at AXS Investments.
Two Fed officials expressed caution. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said he needed more evidence inflation pressures are easing, but is open to lowering rates at some point in the next few months. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said “there is more work to do” to ensure stable prices, despite remarkable progress.
The S&P 500 lost 24.18 points, or 0.49%, to end at 5,005.15 points, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 132.38 points, or 0.83%, to 15,775.65. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 149.48 points, or 0.39%, to 38,623.64.
Most megacap stocks dropped, with Meta Platforms falling 2.2% and dragging the S&P 500 communication services index down 1.56%.
The S&P 500 closed above 5,000 for the fourth time this year thanks to robust corporate earnings and surging enthusiasm around artificial intelligence.
Applied Materials jumped 6.4% after the semiconductor equipment supplier forecast better-than-expected second-quarter revenue on strong demand for advanced chips used in AI.
Vulcan Materials gained 5,2% after forecasting a higher full-year profit, aiding a rise in the S&P 500 materials sector index.
Roku slumped 23.8% after forecasting a bigger first-quarter loss, while crypto exchange Coinbase Global jumped 8.8% on posting its first quarterly profit since 2021.
DoorDash dropped 8.1% as the delivery firm forecast a quarterly profitability metric below expectations, hurt by higher labor costs.
Declining issues outnumbered advancers by a 1.7-to-1 ratio on the NYSE, while on Nasdaq declining issues outnumbered advancers by a 1.6-to-1 ratio.
The S&P 500 posted 63 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows while the Nasdaq recorded 225 new highs and 66 new lows.
On U.S. exchanges 11.18 billion shares changed hands compared with the 11.65 billion moving average for the last 20 sessions.
Reuters