U.S. stocks eked out modest gains on Friday and all three indexes posted another weekly advance as investors parsed comments from Federal Reserve officials and looked ahead to crucial inflation data next week. The TSX ended slightly lower, largely due to declines in the energy and tech sectors, as Statistics Canada reported surprisingly strong April jobs growth.
The S&P 500 and the Dow were modestly higher and the Nasdaq ended essentially unchanged. All three indexes were up for the week with the blue-chip Dow nabbing its largest Friday-to-Friday percentage advance since mid-December. The TSX was up 1.7% over the past five days, its biggest weekly advance in nearly five months.
The University of Michigan’s preliminary take on May Consumer Sentiment on Friday showed the mood of the American consumer has taken its biggest monthly plunge since August 2021, while near- and long-term inflation expectations heated up.
But market players are mostly bracing for next week’s inflation data in the U.S.
“Nobody really wants to take a big position prior to next week,” said Chuck Carlson, chief executive officer at Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana. “And we’re getting into a time of year where people seem to slip out early on Fridays.”
Commentary from several Fed officials helped set monetary policy expectations on Friday.
Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic acknowledged recent clues the economy is slowing, but added the timing of rate cuts remains uncertain.
Striking a more hawkish tone, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said it was unclear whether monetary policy was tight enough to bring inflation down to the central bank’s 2% target.
Hints of progress toward that target will come next week when the Labor Department releases its Consumer and Producer price indexes (CPI and PPI).
Analysts expect the crucial CPI report to show underlying “core” price of 3.6% year-on-year, which would be the coolest reading in over three years.
“The Fed is geared not to raise rates but cut them, so ‘higher for longer’ is about as dire as it’s going to unless things really fall off the table,” said Paul Nolte, senior wealth advisor & market strategist at Murphy & Sylvest in Elmhurst, Illinois.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 125.08 points, or 0.32%, to 39,512.84, the S&P 500 gained 8.6 points, or 0.16%, to 5,222.68 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 5.40 points, or 0.03%, to 16,340.87.
The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index ended down 66.9 points, or 0.3%, at 22,308.93, after it touched an intraday record high of 22,470.27.
Canada’s economy added five times the number of jobs that were forecast for April and the unemployment rate unexpectedly held at 6.1%, dampening market bets for a June rate cut. Money markets see a 44% chance that the Canadian central will ease next month, down from nearly 60% before the data.
The TSX energy sector fell 1.2% as the price of oil settled 1.3% lower at US$78.26 a barrel on the prospect of higher-for-longer U.S. borrowing costs, which could slow demand.
Technology was also a drag, falling 2% in Toronto, as shares of e-commerce company Shopify ended 5.6% lower.
Sun Life Financial shares dropped 6.7% after the life insurer missed core profit estimates for the first time in 12 quarters, while shares of CI Financial Corp tumbled 12.1% after its quarterly results.
Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, consumer staples enjoyed the largest percentage gains, while consumer discretionary shares were the laggards.
First-quarter earnings season is approaching its finish line. Of the 459 of the companies in the S&P 500 that have reported, 77% delivered consensus-beating results, according to LSEG data.
Nvidia gained 1.3% after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co, the world’s largest chipmaker and a major supplier to Nvidia, reported a near 60% jump in April sales.
Novavax shares surged 98.7% in the wake of the vaccine maker’s licensing deal worth up to $1.2 billion with Sanofi.
SoundHound AI jumped 7.2% after beating first-quarter revenue estimates.
Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.10-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.59-to-1 ratio favored decliners. The S&P 500 posted 58 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 95 new highs and 105 new lows. Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.47 billion shares, compared with the 10.87 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.
Reuters, Globe staff
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