Billionaire Warren Buffett assured investors Wednesday that Berkshire Hathaway will be fine when he’s no longer around to lead the conglomerate.
Buffett said shareholders shouldn’t worry about the future of the company after Vice Chairman Greg Abel takes over because he will do a great job and Berkshire will still follow the same model of allowing its subsidiaries to largely run themselves while looking for other companies to buy with the substantial cash reserves it keeps on hand at all times.
“The problem for our board of directors is the day I’m not around and Greg’s running it, I am not giving him some envelope that tells him what to do next,” Buffett said. But Abel and Berkshire will still be ready to say within minutes whether they are interested in an acquisition and have the resources to do it.
Buffett said Berkshire is “so damn lucky” to have Abel ready to take over as CEO because there aren’t many executives like him out there. The 92-year-old has no plans to retire, but Abel has been designated as the successor for several years ever since Buffett’s partner Charlie Munger let it slip at the 2021 annual meeting. Abel already oversees all of Berkshire’s non-insurance businesses.
Buffett and Abel appeared together Wednesday on CNBC from Tokyo where they went this week to check up on several companies Berkshire invested in there in 2020 and promote the conglomerate Buffett leads.
Wednesday’s appearance is the first extended television interview Buffett has done since before the pandemic. Buffett used to regularly appear on the cable network to answer questions for three hours at a time several times a year. Buffett and Abel fielded a variety of questions Wednesday, including the recent bank failures and whether railroads, including Berkshire’s BNSF railroad, need to continue improving safety in the wake of several recent high-profile derailments.
Buffett said more banks will fail over time because some managers will continue to do “dumb things” at times to boost short-term profits, but most people shouldn’t worry about it because their money is protected by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., which is paid for by the banks — not the federal government.
“We’re not over bank failures, but depositors haven’t had a crisis,” Buffett said. “Banks go bust, but depositors aren’t going to be hurt.”
Berkshire sold off most of its bank investments in recent years besides its major Bank of America stake because of Buffett’s concerns.
“I don’t like it when people get too focused on the earnings number and forget what in my view is basic banking principles,” he said.
There has been an intense focus on improving railroad safety in the wake of the fiery Feb. 3 Norfolk Southern derailment outside East Palestine, Ohio, that prompted evacuations and lingering health concerns after hazardous chemicals were released.
Buffett said Norfolk Southern “handled it terribly” and was “tone deaf” in their initial response to that derailment. He pointed out that after a recent BNSF derailment, CEO Katie Farmer was on a plane right away to respond to the crash. Norfolk Southern’s CEO Alan Shaw has repeatedly promised to make things right in East Palestine, but he was slow to meet with residents after the derailment and the railroad missed one of the initial community meetings to answer residents’ questions.
Norfolk Southern didn’t respond directly to Buffett’s comments, but a spokesman for that railroad pointed out that Shaw was in East Palestine in the days right after the derailment when officials decided to release chemicals from several tank cars and burn them to prevent an explosion.
Buffett and Abel said it’s impossible to ensure there will be no derailments because of everything that’s involved in running a railroad in all sorts of conditions, but the industry is generally getting safer over time, and it will get better now.
“There’s no question there’s lessons to be learned for the industry as a whole and there’s room for improvement,” Abel said.
Buffett said inflation can do terrible things so that remains a concern, and the economy does appear to be slowing down based on the reports he sees from Berkshire’s businesses.
But he wouldn’t say whether the Federal Reserve should continue raising interest rates, and he reiterated his longstanding philosophy that Berkshire doesn’t make investing decisions based on macroeconomic factors.
“We haven’t changed our course in 58 years,” Buffett said. “We want to buy good businesses that are run by people we like and trust at a decent price, and we’ll keep doing that. And we’ll keep buying treasury bills every Monday.”
Buffett did reconsider a $4 billion investment he made last year in chipmaker Taiwan Semiconductor after he said he re-evaluated the geopolitical risk that China could intervene in that country and disrupt the company’s operations.
But Buffett remains one of Apple’s biggest backers even though that company relies heavily on Chinese suppliers because he believes that most iPhone users would refuse to give up their Apple devices even if someone offered them $10,000. That customer loyalty makes Apple, which is Berkshire’s biggest investment, attractive.
Berkshire owns dozens of businesses besides BNSF, including Geico insurance, a number of large utilities an assortment of manufacturing and retail businesses. It also holds more than $300 billion of investments, including major stakes in Occidental Petroleum and Coca-Cola.
-- Associated Press
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Stocks to ponder
Dundee Precious Metals Inc. (DPM-T) This is the second best performing stock in the S&P/TSX Composite Index year-to-date with a gain of 60 per cent. DPM is a gold and copper producer with projects in Bulgaria, Namibia, Ecuador and Serbia. It pays a dividend that currently works out to about 2 per cent annually and several analysts have recently been raising their price targets. Jennifer Dowty looks at the investment case.
Probe Gold Inc. (PRB-T) Headquartered in Toronto, Probe is an exploration company with its core operations located in Quebec. It recently raised money to fully fund its 2023 exploration activity with roughly $34-million in cash on its balance sheet. And as Jennifer Dowty tells us in this analysis, the company is a potential future takeover target and six out of six analysts have a buy rating on the stock.
The Rundown
Strategists slash U.S. yield view again despite Fed’s inflation focus
Bond holders should take comfort in this: a new poll of fixed-income strategists by Reuters suggests U.S. Treasury yields will trade sharply lower a year from now than what was forecast just a few weeks ago. With Canadian bond yields heavily influenced by the U.S. market, and bond prices moving inversely to yields, the prediction could translate into higher bond prices for Canadians.
Others (for subscribers)
Number Cruncher: 11 U.S. stocks with healthy economic performance and solid price momentum
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Ask Globe Investor
Question: Regarding John Heinzl’s recent column about grocery-anchored real estate investment trusts, can you explain how their distributions are taxed?
Answer: I’m glad you called them distributions, and not dividends, because payouts from REITs are not the same as dividends from corporations. Canadian dividends generally qualify for the dividend tax credit, which can substantially reduce an investor’s tax burden. REIT distributions, on the other hand, typically consist of a mix of capital gains, return of capital and other income, each of which is subject to different tax treatment. Occasionally, REIT distributions also include a small amount of dividends or foreign income.
The exact tax breakdown varies from REIT to REIT and generally changes from year to year, which means the after-tax income of unitholders will also vary.
Here’s the good news: If you hold your REITs in a registered account, you don’t have to worry about any of this because the distributions are not taxable. However, if you hold your REITs in a nonregistered account, knowing the tax implications will help you determine how much of the distribution will stay in your pocket and how much will go to the government.
Fortunately, this information is relatively easy to find. Most REITs publish the annual tax characteristics of their distributions in the investor relations section of their website. The relevant dollar amounts are also included on the T3 Statement of Trust Income Allocations and Designations issued by your broker, although the amounts may be commingled with income from other securities.
Let’s look at Choice Properties REIT CHP-UN as an example. Choice is Canada’s largest REIT, with a portfolio that is heavily tilted toward grocery-anchored retail centres but also includes industrial, residential and mixed-use properties.
If you go to Choice’s website and click on “Investors” and then “Tax History,” you’ll find a tax summary for the REIT’s annual distributions going back 10 years.
In 2022, for example, Choice’s distribution of about 74 cents per unit consisted primarily of regular income (89.4 per cent), plus smaller amounts of capital gains (9.6 per cent) and return of capital (1 per cent). This tells you that the vast majority of Choice’s distribution in 2022 is taxable at the investor’s regular marginal rate.
Capital gains and return of capital are both taxed more favourably. Only half of capital gains are included in income for tax purposes. Return of capital isn’t taxed at all – at least not immediately. Rather, investors deduct return of capital from the adjusted cost base of their units, which will increase their capital gain, or decrease their capital loss, when they eventually sell the investment.
It’s not hard to find REITs with more favourable tax treatment than Choice. Distributions from Crombie REIT CRR-UN-T, for instance, were split fairly evenly between capital gains (48 per cent) and other income (52 per cent) in 2022. Canadian Apartment Properties REIT’s CAR-UN-T distributions were even more tax-friendly, with capital gains (about 68 per cent) accounting for more than twice the amount of other income (about 32 per cent), which is taxed at the investor’s marginal rate.
--John Heinzl
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