Zhu Guangyao, a cabinet adviser and former vice finance minister, attends a news conference in Beijing, China, on April 4, 2018.THOMAS PETER/Reuters
China and the United States should resume timely communication on trade and other issues, an adviser to the Chinese cabinet said on Thursday, stressing that the world’s two biggest economies are too intertwined to be decoupled.
The coronavirus pandemic has worsened already poor relations between Beijing and Washington, with accusations from the Trump administration of a Chinese cover-up and delayed release of information about the outbreak.
“China and the United States should communicate on key issues, and the scope of communication should go back to normal, not just on trade issues,” Zhu Guangyao, a cabinet adviser and former vice-finance minister, told a briefing in Beijing. “We should resume strategic communication at various levels, including politics, diplomacy and economy.”
Liu Huan, another cabinet adviser, said he expected China’s economy to rebound sharply in the third quarter of this year.
Mr. Liu told reporters after the briefing that he believed China’s economic growth could be about 5 per cent in the third quarter, and 3 per cent to 4 per cent in the whole of 2020.
The economy contracted 6.8 per cent in the first quarter from a year earlier, shrinking for the first time in decades, as the coronavirus outbreak paralyzed production and hit spending.
Reflecting the uncertain outlook, China set no annual growth target this year for the first time since 2002 and pledged more government spending. But expectations of a global recession are compounding the challenges.
The government has set a 2020 budget deficit of at least 3.6 per cent of GDP, up from last year’s 2.8 per cent.
It has also fixed the quota on local government special bond issuance at 3.75 trillion yen, up from 2.15 trillion yen. The government will also issue one trillion yen in special treasury bonds this year.
Mr. Liu said China may need to raise the budget deficit ratio beyond 3.6 per cent if economic pressures increase.
China’s net fiscal stimulus could be just more than four trillion yen, Mr. Liu said, in line with Reuters’ calculations based on the fiscal measures announced, while Mr. Zhu estimated total fiscal funds could be 6.2 trillion yen.
The room for China to support the economy through fiscal and monetary policies is “very big”, said Wang Zhaoxing, a third cabinet adviser at the briefing.
Mr. Wang said China should prepare for a long battle to prevent and resolve financial risks and control shadow banking and financing to the property sector.
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